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Triple Double Advisors LLC | Introduction & Energy Macro Review | Arthur L Smith | Page 33 of 11 | November 21, 2024

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Source: Goldman Sachs LNG: Long–Term Supply 33 LNG production (MMcf/d) 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2011- 2020E CAGR Algeria 1,661 1,445 1,373 1,304 1,304 1,304 1,304 1,304 1,304 1,304 Egypt 846 686 617 555 555 555 555 555 555 555 Libya 8 - - 70 300 500 500 500 500 500 Israel/Cyprus - 257 644 Mediterranian 2,515 2,131 1,990 1,929 2,159 2,359 2,359 2,359 2,616 3,003 2% Trinidad 1,729 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 1,727 Nigeria 2,468 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,621 2,749 Equatorial Guinea 514 496 496 496 496 496 496 496 496 496 Angola - 129 579 669 669 669 669 669 669 Norway 389 476 553 553 553 553 553 553 553 553 Russia 1,383 1,450 1,480 1,480 1,480 1,480 1,480 1,866 2,381 2,767 United States 202 87 87 87 87 409 602 1,117 1,632 2,018 Atlantic 6,685 6,857 7,093 7,543 7,633 7,955 8,148 9,049 10,079 10,979 6% Oman 1,043 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 1,054 Qater 9,954 10,171 10,351 10,532 10,592 10,622 10,622 10,622 10,622 10,622 UAE 771 734 734 734 734 734 734 734 734 734 Yemen 871 697 772 862 862 862 862 862 862 862 Mozambique 129 515 Middle East & East Africa 12,639 12,656 12,911 13,182 13,242 13,272 13,272 13,272 13,401 13,787 1% Australia 2,527 2,665 2,897 2,897 3,798 6,378 9,358 10,561 11,095 11,545 PNG - 257 708 888 1,017 1,274 1,313 Brunei 903 890 890 890 890 890 890 890 890 890 Indonesia 2,824 2,508 2,355 2,217 2,155 2,096 2,040 1,987 2,310 2,504 Malaysia 3,286 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 3,081 Peru 497 530 566 566 566 566 566 566 566 566 Canada - - 257 901 1,519 Pacific 10,037 9,674 9,789 9,651 10,747 13,719 16,823 18,359 20,117 21,418 9% Total supply 31,876 31,318 31,783 32,305 33,781 37,305 40,602 43,039 46,213 49,187 5% % growth 8% -2% 1% 2% 5% 10% 9% 6% 7% 6%